According to an updated forecast shown by researchers of the Laboratory of Data Discovery for Health (D24H) and the HKUMed’s WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, the daily COVID-19 infections in Hong Kong are likely to peak at nearly 183,000 in early March, before gradually dropping to around 400 by mid-May. Deaths would peak at almost 100 a day in late-March, with cumulative casualties hitting 3,206 in mid-May, referring to the analysis released recently.
Without more intensive measures, similar to a city-wide lockdown, “the trajectory of the fifth wave (of COVID-19) is unlikely to change substantially from its current course,” our researchers wrote in the report that was released to the public.
News coverage:
Hong Kong Economic Times – https://money.udn.com/money/story/6721/6116783
China Press – https://bit.ly/3IiDs7s
Yahoo! News (Taiwan) – https://bit.ly/3IiFPr9
Bloomberg Quint – https://www.bloombergquint.com/onweb/hong-kong-could-see-3-000-covid-deaths-by-may-experts-forecast
Pharmaceutical Technology – https://www.pharmaceutical-technology.com/news/covid-reduced-booster-shots/
More about the HKUMed WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control: https://sph.hku.hk/en/About-Us/School-Structure/Research-Centres-and-Units/WHO-Collaborating-Centre-for-Infectious-Disease-Epidemiology-and-Control